
and market rents have declined. The change is most pronounced
in Berlin, where the retail vacancy rate rose to 13.4 percent
and prime rents fell by 5 percent in 2021. The most expensive
location for inner city retail properties was Munich with a
net initial yield of 2.9 percent. Since the start of the pandemic,
shopping centre yields have risen to 5.3 percent net, reflecting
uncertainty over investments in this segment. At the same
time, the decline in rents for shopping centres was more pro-
nounced than in the city centres.
Commercial property, international
Transaction volume on European commercial property markets
recovered in 2021 following a significant slump in the previous
year. EUR 275 billion was invested in commercial properties
across Europe, an increase of 23 percent. Germany accounted
for one third of European transaction volume, followed by the
UK with 24 percent, France with 10 percent and the Nether-
lands with 5 percent. Residential portfolios and office proper-
ties each accounted for one third of transaction volume,
putting the residential segment at European level on a par
with office properties for the first time.
In the UK, investment volume was the highest since 2015,
reaching a figure of EUR 67 billion, representing a year on
year increase of 50 percent. The period between the Brexit
referendum and the UK’s actual exit from the EU greatly
unsettled investors because the impacts of Brexit on the
labour market and on demand for commercial property were
difficult to predict. Net initial yields for all property types
therefore rose significantly, because investors had priced the
uncertainty into their yield forecasts. Yields rose most strongly
in regional markets, especially for retail properties in those
markets. In 2021, prime yields for shopping centres in the UK
were 7.5 percent. Prime office properties in the City of London
returned to a net yield level of 3.5 percent in 2021, a figure
last recorded in 2015.
In France, EUR 27 billion was invested in commercial property
and residential portfolios in 2021, down by 18 percent com-
pared with the previous year. The decline is explained by the
very selective behaviour of investors in the office segment,
which is the most important type of use in the French com-
mercial property market. Due to the strict measures taken to
combat the pandemic, office properties stood empty for several
weeks and users began to reduce their space requirements.
As a result, prime rents in central Paris fell by 3 percent year
on year. Rents for commercial properties fell by 16 percent in
France during 2021, while shopping centre rents declined by
4 percent. Net initial yields were unchanged at 3.2 percent for
commercial buildings and rose to 4.8 percent for shopping
centres.
In the Netherlands, transaction volume fell by 26 percent year
on year to EUR 14 billion. This was due to government inter-
vention in the residential property market, which made inves-
tors in commercial residential property portfolios far more
cautious. Yields remained unchanged at 3.1 percent on a net
basis for office properties in Amsterdam and 3.4 percent on
average for all Dutch cities. Office rents were unchanged
compared with the previous year. Retail rents also declined in
the Netherlands, with rents dropping by 6 percent for com-
mercial buildings and by 10 percent for shopping centres.
In Spain, transaction volume recovered to just under
EUR 11.3 billion, up 27 percent on the previous year. Investor
interest in prime office properties in Spanish cities was so
great that the net initial yields in Madrid and Barcelona each
fell by 10 basis points. The net initial yield for office proper-
ties in Madrid was 3.1 percent and in Barcelona 3.2 percent.
In both cities, vacancy rates rose slightly and prime office
rents declined by an average of 3 percent in 2021. At 5 per-
cent, the decline in rents for shopping centres was relatively
moderate compared with other European cities, as footfall
rapidly recovered once lockdown restrictions were eased. Yields
for commercial properties were stable at 3.4 percent in 2021,
while net initial yields for shopping centres rose to 5.3 percent.
In the US, commercial property and residential portfolios
worth USD 582 billion had changed hands by the end of the
third quarter of 2021, up by 39 percent year on year. Multi-
family apartments were the most sought-after asset class,
accounting for almost 40 percent of investment volume. Logis-
tics properties were the second strongest asset class with a
market share of 23 percent, followed by office properties with
a market share of 19 percent.
Economic report
14
MÜNCHENER HYPOTHEKENBANK EGANNUAL REPORT 2021
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